收盘在96.95 湘潭大学物理实验中心

Tian Hongliang: the dollar rebounded for 3 consecutive days blocked, there is no retreat, there is a retreat, the client to see the latest market in yesterday’s foreign exchange market, the dollar continued concussion finishing trend. Dollar index rose to 97.09, the lowest drop to 96.69, closing at 96.95. Euro dollar rose to 1.1149, the lowest drop to 1.1071, closing at 1.1092. Yesterday, the United States announced the initial jobless claims and Philadelphia fed manufacturing index better than market expectations, the U.S. dollar rebounded moderately boosted, but the momentum of slow momentum, the short-term seems to have limited space, mainly by overnight release of the Federal Reserve (FED) dovish conference minutes weighed down. At the same time, the U.S. January conference board leading index fell 0.2%, the 2 consecutive month of decline, last year hit the lowest in May. In addition, as oil prices and U.S. stocks fall again, risk appetite once again cooled, also depressed the U.S. dollar against the yen concussion down. Oil prices and stock markets recorded a rise earlier in the day, but oil prices and stock markets fell during the afternoon trading session, while the dollar rose against the euro, the Swiss franc and sterling, while the dollar index was flat. Weak oil prices and financial market turmoil means that the Fed may raise interest rates in 2016 to suspend, which in December with the message very different. Williams, chairman of the San Francisco fed, said yesterday that the Fed should adhere to the progressive interest rate increase plan. He said: "although the international situation and the market development turbulence, but the U.S. economy in general looks pretty good, so I still think that the gradual pace of gradual normalization of policy is the best path." But the chances of raising interest rates in March are now very low. Sterling and the dollar are doing well today, and they are also strong against the euro, because there are preliminary signs that the EU reform agreement may be reached at a summit later this week to provide more favorable conditions for the UK to remain in the eu. Prime Minister Cameron said Thursday that all efforts and good intentions should be able to help him reach an agreement at the EU summit, and that the leaders of the 28 EU member countries see the summit as the best chance for Britain to stay in the eu. From a technical point of view, the dollar index 5 day moving average MACD 10 day moving average, to form a strong support for the dollar. But the short line over the top of the 97.10 resistance began to increase, but also limited the rebound of the dollar. The United States that the outlook is only firm in 97.20, the rebound is expected to reach 97.50 goals: 97.60. The rebound in the United States that want to break through and stand on top of the 98.00 should be very difficult, and this is the dollar short long short line. If the United States refers to the short-term callback, will also be in the 96.40, 96.50 found support, then began to rebound. A little pessimistic words, the United States that may pullback to around 96.20, but may not be below 96. If you accidentally fall below 96, means that the dollar rebound would have ended, shortly after the United States that again appeared low may be big. Today the United States refers to the short-term resistance at 97.10, 97.15, 97.25, short-term resistance at 97.30. today refers to short-term support at 96.70, 96.75, short-term heavy. 田洪良:美元连续3天反弹受阻不进则有退忧 客户端 查看最新行情   在昨天的外汇市场上,美元延续震荡整理的走势。美元指数最高上涨到97.09,最低下跌到96.69,收盘在96.95。欧元 美元最高上涨到1.1149,最低下跌到1.1071,收盘在1.1092。   昨天美国公布的初请失业金和费城联储制造业指数好于市场预期,美元受到提振温和反弹,但冲高动能缓慢,短线似乎上行空间有限,主要受隔夜公布的美联储(FED)鸽派会议纪要打压。同时美国1月谘商会领先指标下降0.2%,连续2个月下降,触及去年5月来最低。此外,随着油价和美股再次回落,风险偏好再度降温也打压美元兑日元震荡下挫。   因油价和股市日内稍早录得涨幅,但午后交易时段油价和股市转跌,美元兑欧元、瑞郎和英镑涨幅逐渐削减,美元指数则基本持平。油价疲软以及金融市场动荡意味着美联储可能在2016年暂停加息,而这与其在12月时所传达的讯息大相迳庭。美国旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯昨天讲话则称,美联储应坚持渐进式加息计划。他表示:“尽管国际局势及市场发展剧烈动荡,但美国经济总体而言看起来仍相当不错,所以我仍然认为采用渐进式政策正常化步伐是最佳路径。”不过3月份加息的几率目前看来已经非常之低。   英镑兑美元今日表现不错,兑欧元也走强,因有初步迹象显示,本周稍后举行的峰会上可能达成欧盟改革协议,为将英国留在欧盟,向其提供更加优厚的条件。英国首相卡梅伦周四称,多方努力和良好意愿应该能够帮助他在欧盟峰会上达成协议,欧盟28个成员国领导人将此次峰会看作是能让英国留在欧盟的最好机会。   从技术上来看,美元指数5日均线金叉10日均线,对汇价形成较强的支持。但短线在97.10上方的阻力开始增大,又限制了美元的反弹高度。美指后市只有站稳在97.20之上,反弹的目标才有望达到97.50�97.60。本轮美指反弹要想突破并站稳在98.00之上应该很难,这也是美元短期多空的分界线。如果美指回调的话,短线也将会在96.40�96.50之间找到支持,然后开始反弹。悲观一点的话,美指有可能回调到96.20左右,但跌破96.00的可能不大。若真的意外跌破96.00的话,意味着美元反弹就要结束了,后市美指再出现新低的可能就大了。今天美指短线阻力在97.10�97.15,短线重要阻力在97.25�97.30.美指今天短线支持在96.70�96.75,短线重要支持在96.50�96.55。欧元 美元5日均线死叉10日均线,对汇价的反弹构成一定的阻力。但欧美下方的支持开始增强,昨天下跌考验了1.1070的支持,短线有所反弹,但短线反弹的高度可能受限在1.1150以及1.1180之下。不排除今天欧美还有继续下跌的可能性,1.1060�1.1070的区间支持还要经受考验。今天短线欧美反弹的阻力在1.1135�1.1140,短线重要阻力在1.1175�1.1180。欧美今天下跌的支持1.1060�1.1065,短线重要支持在1.1025�1.1030。虽然欧美短线走弱,并不意味着欧美的这一波涨势就此终结。只要汇价站稳在1.0980�1.1000的区间之上,欧美后市还会有一个反弹的行情出现。是否还会有新高,只能走一步看一步。若欧美后市日线图收盘在1.0980之下的话,欧美这一波涨势就要宣告结束了。   美元今天短线以逢高做空为主,破位止损,有盈利30个点以上就设好止赢,在美国开市前撤出所有没有成交的挂单。本策略适合保证金,实盘可作参。   美元指数:可以在97.15—-96.55的区间上限卖出,有效破位20个点止损,目标在区间的下限。   欧元 美元:可以在1.1180–1.1060的区间下限买入,有效破位30个点止损,目标在区间的上限。   英镑 美元:可以在1.4460—1.4270的区间下限买入,有效破位40个点止损,目标在区间的上限。   美元 瑞郎:可以在0.9975—-0.9875的区间上限卖出,有效破位30个点止损,目标在区间的下限。   美元 日元:可以在114.00—-112.50的区间上限卖出,有效破位40个点止损,目标在区间的下限。   澳元 美元:可以在0.7190—0.7130的区间下限买入,有效破位30个点止损,目标在区间的上限。   美元 加元:可以在1.3780–1.3670的区间上限卖出,有效破位40个点止损,目标在区间的下限。   黄金:可以在1249.00�1224.00的区间下限买入,有效破位9美元止损,目标在区间的上限。   白银:可以在15.60�15.30的区间下限买入,有效破位0.20美元止损,目标在区间的上限。   原油:可以在33.90�32.10的区间上限卖出,有效破位0.50美元止损,目标在区间的下限。   新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: